تدوین و اعتباریابی الگوی مدیریت اثربخش ریسک مبتنی بر روش نظریه داده بنیاد
کلمات کلیدی:
مدیریت ریسک، نظریه دادهبنیاد، کدگذاری محوری، اثربخشی سازمانی، مدل بومیچکیده
هدف این پژوهش تدوین و اعتباریابی الگویی بومی و اثربخش برای مدیریت ریسک در سازمانهای ایرانی با استفاده از روش نظریه دادهبنیاد است. این پژوهش کیفی با رویکرد نظریه دادهبنیاد بر پایه مدل کوربین و اشتراوس انجام شد. جامعه آماری شامل خبرگان، مدیران ریسک، اعضای هیئتمدیره شرکتهای بورسی و اساتید دانشگاهی آشنا با مدیریت ریسک بود که به روش نمونهگیری هدفمند و گلولهبرفی انتخاب شدند. دادهها از طریق مصاحبههای نیمهساختاریافته گردآوری و با استفاده از نرمافزار MAXQDA در سه مرحله کدگذاری باز، محوری و انتخابی تحلیل شدند. برای سنجش روایی محتوایی شاخصهای استخراجشده از تحلیل کیفی، از شاخص CVR با تأیید خبرگان استفاده گردید. یافتهها نشان داد که مدیریت اثربخش ریسک تحت تأثیر پنج بُعد اصلی شامل شرایط علی (مانند عوامل اقتصادی و سیاسی)، شرایط مداخلهگر (همچون زیرساختهای اطلاعاتی و ضعف ساختاری)، شرایط زمینهای (مانند وضعیت سازمان و کشور)، راهبردهای درون و برونسازمانی (نظیر کنترل داخلی و ثبات بازار)، و پیامدها (نظیر بهبود شفافیت، کاهش هزینههای نمایندگی و افزایش اعتماد عمومی) قرار دارد. تمامی مقولات شناساییشده با شاخص CVR در سطح معنادار تأیید شدند. مدل توسعهیافته در این پژوهش، مدلی بومی و چندبعدی است که میتواند بهعنوان ابزار تصمیمگیری برای مدیران، سیاستگذاران و محققان جهت بهبود فرآیندهای مدیریت ریسک و افزایش تابآوری سازمانها در بسترهای پرریسک و ناپایدار مورد استفاده قرار گیرد.
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حق نشر 2025 Amir Mirzaee (Author); Ali Lalbar (Corresponding author); Azar Moslemi, Mohammad Reza Ghorbanian (Author)

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